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US 2016 Election Is a Global Risk

April 25, 2016 • GLOBAL ECONOMY, EMERGING TRENDS, CRITICAL ANALYSIS, Columns, Capitalism in the 21st Century, International Relations, Americas, Dan Steinbock, On Donald Trump Administration

By Dan Steinbock

As America is struggling amid a historical protest election, the political risk could undermine US economic rebound and the lingering global economic recovery. Europe will be least immune to spillovers, says Dan Steinbock.

Currently, the leading Democratic presidential candidates, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, are approaching the final showdown. Concurrently, the Republican establishment – including Senate’s majority leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker Paul Ryan– is struggling to undermine the real estate mogul Donald Trump’s campaign by promoting Senator Ted Cruz, Governor Kasich and less-known ‘dark horses.’

After Wisconsin and New York, the leading contenders seek to consolidate their lead in the remaining delegate-rich states, including Pennsylvania in April and California and New Jersey in May.

Until November, US media will be all about presidential elections, which is financially vital to the ‘bottom line’ of the news organisations and media networks that financially rely increasingly on the expensive political media campaigns. As investigative journalism is largely dead, American democracy is increasingly threatened by big money, which now makes and breaks media buys, candidate campaigns and brokered conventions.

 

 
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3 Responses to US 2016 Election Is a Global Risk

  1. […] key question remains: Will Trump walk the talk? For instance, his goal to re-negotiate defense pacts in Asia would undermine the Abe […]

  2. […] I argued in spring 2016 (TWFR, April 25, 2016),1 US election is a global risk and it would continue to be fought after the Trump election win. […]

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