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From the Trans-Atlantic Axis and the Trans-Asian Axis          

August 16, 2017 • Columns, Asia - Pacific, Dan SteinbockComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock     The ASEAN faces old and new challenges, and a huge long-term opportunity. The next three decades could witness the shift of global economic momentum from the Trans-Atlantic axis to the Trans-Asian axis.   Recently, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) marked its 50th anniversary in Manila with President Duterte

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The Lessons of Terrorism in Mindanao

August 8, 2017 • CRITICAL ANALYSIS, Columns, Dan Steinbock, Special Feature on Duterte and the PhilippinesComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock The Ramawi terror did not come out of the blue. It is a result of decades of economic polarisation, political exclusion, neglect of terrorism by the Aquino administration, and ISIL’s collapse in Syria and Iraq. If the stabilisation fails

The Myths and Realities of Duterte’s Infrastructure Initiative

August 2, 2017 • SPECIAL FEATURES, Columns, Editor’s Choice, Asia - Pacific, Dan Steinbock, Special Feature on Duterte and the PhilippinesComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock A huge upgrade of infrastructure is vital for Philippines economic future. That’s why it is contested by entrenched interests, including foreign powers. This is the first in a series of occasional commentaries about the Philippines

Why Jobs Growth No Longer Induces Wage Growth in America

July 20, 2017 • GLOBAL ECONOMY, Columns, Americas, Dan SteinbockComments (0)

Or The Eclipse of the Phillips Curve in America By Dan Steinbock While the Fed’s continued tightening may suppress growth in emerging economies, US labor market may not be as strong as recent reports suggest.   US experienced strong job growth in June,

US-China Ties in the Shadow of the Mueller Investigation

June 26, 2017 • Columns, World Politics, Americas, China, Dan SteinbockComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock                                         In the foreseeable future, the Trump administration will be constrained by the special counsel’s Russia investigation. How will it impact the White House’s

The Trump White House Under Siege

June 22, 2017 • GLOBAL ECONOMY, World Politics, Americas, Dan SteinbockComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock                                           Washington is planning to extend sanctions against Russia, once again. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is getting ready to cope with a special counsel’s

Regime Change in the Trump White House?

June 2, 2017 • CRITICAL ANALYSIS, World Politics, International Relations, Dan Steinbock, On US Election 2016Comments (0)

By Dan Steinbock                                         No US postwar president has managed to reset relations with Russia. Now the Trump administration must cope with a special counsel’s investigation. In the past, US

Who are the World’s Biggest Military Spenders, Really?

May 10, 2017 • CRITICAL ANALYSIS, World Politics, International Relations, Dan SteinbockComments (1)

By Dan Steinbock                             The conventional narrative is that the world is threatened by the assertive China and Russia. The inconvenient narrative is that China is modernising, while US priorities are misguided,

Buying American, Losing America

May 4, 2017 • GLOBAL ECONOMY, Americas, Dan SteinbockComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock Recently, President Trump signed his “Buy American, Hire American” executive order. Ironically, while the stated goal is to put “America First”, the White House may actually subsidise old industries and undermine innovation.  

The Philippine Peso Squeeze      

April 19, 2017 • GLOBAL ECONOMY, Asia - Pacific, Dan Steinbock, Special Feature on Duterte and the PhilippinesComments (0)

By Dan Steinbock In the first quarter, the Philippine peso depreciated against the US dollar. Internationally, this was attributed to President Duterte’s policies. In reality, it has a lot to do with the expected US rate hikes. But there is a reason why